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Astros vs. Mets MLB Odds, Preview and Prediction – June 28th, 2022

By Hank Blaine

It’s a potential World Series preview on Tuesday and the best series in the majors early this week when the Houston Astros visit the New York Mets. Tuesday’s opener is nationally televised.

Nitrobetting is ready to lend a hand to its bettors with their winning bets to be shot out of the park. This time, let’s break down the upcoming matchup between the Houston Astros and the New York Mets, along with the latest MLB odds and information about the teams and players involved.

Astros vs. Mets Game Information

  • When: Tuesday, June 28, 2022, 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field, New York City, NY
  • TV: ATT SportsNet-SW, SNY, TBS, MLBN (out-of-market only)
  • Radio: KBME 790 AM (Astros) / WCBS 880 (Mets)
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • MLB Odds: Astros (-122) / Mets (+106)

READ MORE: Twins vs. Guardians MLB Odds, Preview and Prediction – June 28th, 2022

Why bet on the Houston Astros?

Houston is a +550 third favorite to win the World Series and the Mets are +700 fourth favorites. I’d expect both to be active ahead of the Trade Deadline. The Astros didn’t even have to travel for this series because they just finished a four-game set against the Yankees on Sunday. The teams split the four.

Shortstop and AL Rookie of the Year candidate Jeremy Pena went 1-for-4 with a run scored on Sunday in his return to the Astros’ lineup. He had missed nearly two weeks due to left thumb discomfort. The 24-year-old is slashing.277/.332/.472 with nine homers and six steals in 215 plate appearances over 55 games.

Outfielder Michael Brantley had to leave Sunday’s game with left shoulder discomfort and it’s not clear if he will miss more time. Brantley is hitting .288 with 26 RBIs. DH Yordan Alvarez didn’t start Sunday with hand soreness but did end up pinch-hitting so he should be good to go Tuesday. He’s tied for second in the majors with 22 homers. Alvarez has been raking this month, batting .411 with four doubles, a triple, eight homers and 26 RBI (.488 OBP/.822 SLG/1.310 OPS).

Why bet on the New York Mets ?

Mets second baseman Jeff McNeil, who leads the team with a .327 average, hasn’t played since leaving last Monday’s game against the Marlins with right hamstring tightness but manager Buck Showalter said Sunday that he is “very confident” McNeil will return to the lineup Tuesday. McNeil is on an eight-game hitting streak, batting .458 (11- 24) with five runs, three doubles, a home run, five RBI, four walks with a .552 OBP and a .708 SLG in that span.

Pete Alonso leads the majors with 69 homers and is the third Mets player in team history to record 60 or more RBIs before the All-Star break in multiple seasons. He joined Carlos Beltran (2006 and 2008) and David Wright (2006, 2008 and 2010). The Mets record for most RBI in the first half is 74, accomplished by David Wright in 2006. That record is probably going to be broken unless Alonso gets hurt.

The Mets are scheduled to start Carlos Carrasco (8-3, 4.42 ERA) on the mound. He was pulled from last Wednesday’s start against the Astros due to tightness in his lower back. Carrasco had been very ineffective before exiting, allowing five runs — and three home runs — before leaving in the third inning. An MRI was negative so Carrasco should be fine for Tuesday.

Houston starts lefty Framber Valdez (7-3, 2.90 ERA). He allowed three runs over six innings last Thursday in a no-decision against the Yankees. Valdez allowed a three-run homer to Giancarlo Stanton in the opening frame, but managed to keep the Yankees off the scoreboard over his final five innings of work. He finished with seven strikeouts. The 28-year-old has allowed three earned runs or fewer in 11 consecutive starts since April 25.

The first time the Mets were swept in a season series this year was at home June 21-22 vs. Houston. Carrasco was the loser of that finale. Valdez didn’t pitch in the series. Luis Garcia was actually set to start this game but the team opted to push it back to Thursday’s series opener to avoid having both Valdez and Justin Verlander pitch against the Yankees in two consecutive starts.

Astros vs. Mets MLB Betting Trends

  • Astros are 10-4 in the last 14 road games.
  • Astros are 8-1 in the last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • The total went under in 12 of Houston’s last 14 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.
  • Mets are 3-7 in the last 10 interleague games.
  • Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • The total went over in 4 of NY Mets’ last 6 games against Houston.

Astros vs. Mets Betting Prediction

Astros 5, Mets 3.

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.