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Iowa State vs. Oklahoma 2023 College Football Week 5 Odds, Preview & Pick

By Hank Blaine

One of the Big 12’s top rivalries takes place on Saturday when 14-ranked Oklahoma hosts the Iowa State Cyclones. The Sooners have dominated their opponents so far this season. Iowa State, though, heads to Norman off their best performance so far. Will the Cyclones continue to impress? Will the Sooners cover a -20 spread line? Check out college football odds, analysis, and a free pick for Cyclones at Sooners.

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Oklahoma Sooners Game Information

  • When: Saturday, September 30, 2023, 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
  • TV: FS1
  • Radio: 1430 AM (Iowa State) // KOKC AM 1520 (Oklahoma)
  • Live Stream: WatchESPN
  • College Football Odds: Iowa State (+20) // Oklahoma (-20)

Why Bet on the Iowa State Cyclones?

This season, Iowa State is leaning on their defense. The Cyclones boast a 2-2 straight up record, but we can’t blame the D for the losses.

Iowa State held Northern Iowa to 9, gave up just 20 to Iowa, and held Ohio to 10. Oklahoma State scored 27, but Iowa State won the game. Overall, the Cyclones allow 16.5 points from 115.3 rushing yards and 177.3 passing yards.

Defensive back Jeremiah Cooper has 3 of Iowa State’;s 5 interceptions. Cooper can play any position in the secondary.

The Cyclones average just 21 points per game, but in their last, a win against Oklahoma State, the offense dropped 34 points.

Rocco Becht threw for 348 yards and 3 TDs. Receiver Jaylin Noel caught 8 passes for 146 yards and a touchdown. Becht and Noel had breakout games, which could be a sign Iowa State’s offense has turned the corner.

Why Bet on the Oklahoma Sooners?

Oklahoma’s defense was a tragedy last season. This season, Brent Venables has the Sooners’ playing the type of D Venables is famous for coaching.

Oklahoma’s HC used to run Dabo Swinney’s defense at Clemson. Venables runs the same schemes at Oklahoma, which is why the D allows 8.5 points per game and ranks third in the nation in takeaways with 8.

Danny Stutsman has 2 sacks and Key Lawrence has 2 interceptions. The defense gives up just 310.8 total yards per game.

Dillon Gabriel is a legit Heisman Trophy contender. The former UCF quarterback has thrown for 1,225 yards and 12 TDs in just 4 games.

Not only has Gabriel posted great stats, but they’ve come against decent teams like Cincinnati, Tulsa, and SMU. Gabriel is also an accomplished rusher. He scored a rushing TD versus the Bearcats in the Sooners’ last.

Oklahoma ranks fourth in the nation in points per game at 46.8. Gabriel averages 350 passing yards per contest, and the Sooners rush for 158 each game.

Iowa State vs. Oklahoma Betting Trends

  • Iowa State is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games.
  • Cyclones are 3-10 SU in its last 13 games.
  • The total went under in 10 of Iowa State’s last 12 games.
  • Oklahoma is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games.
  • Sooners are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
  • The total went over in 4 of Oklahoma’s last 6 games.

Iowa State vs. Oklahoma Expert Betting Predictions

The reason the Sooners are 4-0 ATS this season is because Oklahoma is one of the more complete teams in college football. Venables, a defensive mastermind, coaches the defense but doesn’t get too much involved in the offense.

Offensive coordinator Jeff Lebby has created a system that takes advantage of Dillon Gabriel’s talents. But although Gabriel is great, he struggles to throw the deep ball.

Ah, but Oklahoma’s receivers, especially Andrel Anthony and Nic Anderson, can catch and run the ball to the end zone. So Lebby’s system takes into account Gabriel’s lack of deep ball skills.

In this game, Oklahoma won’t require Gabriel to throw it deep to beat the Cyclones by more than 20. The Oklahoma defense will shut down Iowa State’s offense. If Oklahoma scores 35, which is almost a foregone conclusion, the Sooners should cover.

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