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Novak Djokovic vs. Tommy Paul 2023 Australian Open Odds and Preview

By Jeff Stinger

The Australian Open welcomes back to the semifinal round its winningest men’s singles competitor winner in Novak Djokovic, who is on another one of his typical dominant runs in Melbourne. Next up for Djokovic is a Grand Slam Cinderella in Tommy Paul, who should be given more credit for making a deep run in the Aussie Open. Who’ll come out on top of this showdown between an all-time great and an unlikely upstart?

Nitrobetting is ready to volley the latest tennis news, tennis odds, and updates all year round. Let’s break down the upcoming semifinal match of the 2023 Australian Open men’s singles tournament between Novak Djokovic and Tommy Paul.

Novak Djokovic vs. Tommy Paul Match Information

  • When: Thursday, January 26, 2023
  • Where: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
  • Live Stream: ESPN+
  • 2023 Australian Open Odds: Djokovic (-2000) / Paul (+994)

READ MORE: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Karen Khachanov 2023 Australian Open Odds and Preview

Why Bet on Novak Djokovic?

After being denied to compete in last year’s Australian Open due to his vaccination status (or lack thereof), Novak Djokovic is back in his favorite stomping grounds with a vengeance. His convincing straight-sets victory in the quarterfinals against No. 5 seed Andrey Rublev is yet another testament to the unflappable nature of Djoker Down under.

Djokovic has dropped just a single set all tournament long and this was back in the second round of the tourney. Since that four-set victory over unheralded Enzo Couacaud, the sensational Serb went on to make quick work of seeded entrants Alex de Minaur in the quarters and Rublev in the semis and barely skipping a beat in both matches.

What more can be said about Nole’s excellence? At this pace, Djokovic has full control of his destiny at extending his own record of Australian Open titles to 10 when all is said and done. Having an unseeded opponent in the semis only means that he’s a virtual lock to return to the final round in Melbourne.

Why Bet on Tommy Paul?

The only player left in the Aussie Open hailing from the United States is not anybody’s first guess, as Tommy Paul is the latest unlikely face to make a career-defining run at a Grand Slam tournament. It was Paul who emerged victorious from his semifinal clash against fellow unseeded American Ben Shelton to set up a semifinal date with a living legend.

Similar to his shocking upset of Roberto Bautista Agut in the fourth round, Paul needed four sets to dispatch Shelton. The 25-year-old Jersey native limited his errors and was rewarded with his first-ever Grand Slam semifinal appearance, which also happens to be his best finish in any ATP Toul-level event to date.

Paul has never faced Djokovic before in his relatively short professional tennis career. Furthermore, he’s yet to face an actual top 10 player throughout his run in Melbourne and will be thrown right into the fire with a matchup against arguably one true god of the sport. Nevertheless, Paul’s inspiring effort has many excited for what could be the biggest upset in Grand Slam history.

Novak Djokovic vs. Tommy Paul Betting Trends

  • Djokovic now has a lifetime record of 87-8 in the Australian Open.
  • Djokovic is unbeaten in 10 matches on the hard courts this year.
  • Paul is 27-13 on the hard courts himself dating back to the start of the previous season.
  • In general, Paul is 9-2 in his last 11 matches across three tournaments.

Novak Djokovic vs. Tommy Paul Expert Betting Prediction

There’s no way to sugarcoat the hard truth that Djokovic will likely cruise into the final round of the Australian Open once more after being gifted an unseeded player to match up against in the semis. As valiant as Paul’s run has been, he’ll likely have his short-lived moment under the spotlight end with a patented straight-sets victory from Djoker.

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*All odds stated are subject to change without prior notice.